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Thursday, August 4, 2011

Game Theory as Strategic Management Tool

Game Theory
Game theory is a reasoned attempt to predict behavior. It applies in situations where an individual's success in making choices depends on the choices of others.

Imagine if you can predict or anticipate what your competitors are going to do, you probably be in a competitive position to outdo your rivals by implementing better moves to conquer the market. This is the essence of Game Theory.

Game theory studies competitive and cooperative behavior in strategic environments, where the fortunes of several players are intertwined. It provides methods for identifying optimal strategies and predicting the outcomes of strategic interactions.

The field of game theory began around 1900 when mathematicians began asking whether there are optimal strategies for parlor games such as chess and poker, and, if so, what these strategies might look like. The first comprehensive formulation of the subject came in 1944 with the publication of the book Theory of Games and Economic Behavior by famous mathematician John von Neumann and eminent economist Oskar Morgenstern. As its title indicates, this book also marked the beginning of the application of game theory to economics.

Since then, game theory has been applied to many other fields, including political science, military strategy, law,
computer science, and biology, among other areas.

Game Theory Strategy
The idea of business as a game, in the sense that a move by one player sparks off moves by others, runs through much strategic thinking. It is borrowed from a branch of economics (game theory) in which no economic agent (individual or corporate) is an island, living and acting independently of others.

In sectors where firms compete fiercely for market share and customer loyalty, this stylised progression of moves closely parallels actual behaviour.

Seeing business life as a never-ending series of games, each of which has a winner and a loser, can be a handicap. In business negotiations, for example, with external suppliers or customers, or with trade unions or colleagues, it can be unhelpful if participants see it only in terms of a victory or a loss. For that way one party has to walk away feeling bad about the outcome. In some non-western cultures the aim is different. The negotiation process is steered towards a win-win outcome, one with which both parties can be reasonably content.

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